Research by Kevin L. Michel
Research for people trying to understand reality, power, systems, and the future.
These research papers are free to read and download. Start with an open visual guide, or explore member research worlds with public previews and full models included in Basic Library membership and higher.
New research · Quantum foundations · Free
What would count as evidence for many worlds?
Quantum experiments can test remarkable claims about reality. But when several theories predict the same result, what have we learned? Explore five claims, real experiments, and the math that shows where the evidence reaches.
Kevin L. Michel · 38-page working paper · Version 1.0
Open research archive
15 complete papers. Free full text.
Each paper has its own stable publication page, full abstract, DOI, suggested citation, and direct PDF. No membership, checkout, or sign-in is required.
What Would Count as Evidence for Many Worlds? Operational Equivalence and the Evidential Architecture of Everettian Quantum Mechanics
How Credible and Executable Are Saint Lucia’s Annual Budgets? A Plan-to-Outturn Assessment, FY2014/15–FY2024/25
Where Is Saint Lucia’s Household Infrastructure Divide? Household Co-Deprivation, District Burden, and Change Across the 2010–2022 Censuses
How Complete Is Saint Lucia’s Published Procurement Record? A Census Audit of the Department of Finance Portal
Beyond Chesterton’s Fence: Institutional Intervention Readiness in Complex Policy Systems
From Output Recovery to Employment Gains: Sectoral Employment Intensity and Uneven Labour-Market Recovery in Saint Lucia, 2008–2025
Beyond the First Ripple: RIPPLE-4 as a Mechanism-Based Recursive Policy-Appraisal Framework for Small Open States
The Sovereign Option: A Lewisian Theory of Decisive Action in Complex Policy Systems
The Inflation That Remained: Sources and Retention of Consumer-Price Increases in Saint Lucia, 2019–2025
When Self-Presentation Becomes Self-Evidence: The Audience-Weighted Self-Evidence Model of Personality Change
Beyond Learned Helplessness: A Control-Response Fit Model of Agency, Persistence, and Adaptive Disengagement
The Hotel-Room Problem: A Person × Visual-Environment Framework for Sustained Academic Attention
When Prosocial Dispositions Become Effective Help: The Prosocial Translation Model
Would You Defend This Decision in Public? A Person × Situation Theory of Prospective Publicity and Research Integrity
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Caribbean Futures Domestic Value Added from Visitor Expenditure in Saint Lucia 18-25 min read Caribbean Futures Cruise Tourism vs Stayover Tourism in Saint Lucia 35-50 min read Caribbean Futures Saint Lucia — The Water Reliability Question 45-60 min read Caribbean Futures Saint Lucia and the Energy Bill 45-60 min read
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Start with the domestic-value model.
Caribbean Futures
Domestic Value Added from Visitor Expenditure in Saint Lucia
A transparent model estimating direct and multiplier-adjusted domestic value added per EC$1 of visitor spending, by segment and spending category.
This research world estimates the direct and multiplier-adjusted domestic value generated from each EC$1 of visitor expenditure, after accounting for import leakage, foreign factor-income leakage, outbound commissions, and narrow public/environmental cost proxies.
Saint LuciaTourismEconomic leakageDomestic value addedSmall island development
Research lanes
A broad shelf, held together by systems thinking.
Caribbean Futures
Tourism, public finance, development, land, climate, institutions, and small-state strategy.
6 live 0 upcoming
AI & Work
How AI changes income, productivity, writing, management, and the new middle class.
1 live 0 upcoming
Frontier Physics & Space Futures
Serious speculative research on spacetime, causality, advanced propulsion, and the boundary between known physics and future engineering.
1 live 0 upcoming
Law, Power & Public Records
Practical civic research on public access, governance, legal structures, and institutional power.
1 live 0 upcoming
Psychology & Human Performance
Attention, discipline, pressure, decision-making, courage, and personal agency under modern conditions.
1 live 0 upcoming
Creator Economy & Publishing
Independent authorship, digital products, AI-assisted publishing, and building a durable creative business.
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Aviation, Fatigue & Safety
Cabin crew fatigue, operational risk, passenger safety, human factors, and aviation labor realities.
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Research shelf
Available reports and research worlds.
Caribbean Futures
Domestic Value Added from Visitor Expenditure in Saint Lucia
How much of the tourism dollar actually stays in Saint Lucia?
A transparent model estimating direct and multiplier-adjusted domestic value added per EC$1 of visitor spending, by segment and spending category.
Saint LuciaTourismEconomic leakageDomestic value added
Open research Caribbean Futures
Cruise Tourism vs Stayover Tourism in Saint Lucia
Which model produces more domestic value?
A focused comparison of visitor yield, leakage, employment, dwell time, and policy tradeoffs.
Saint LuciaCruiseStayoverTourism policy
Open research Caribbean Futures
Saint Lucia — The Water Reliability Question
What would it take for Saint Lucia to become water-secure?
A Saint Lucia water-security report on rainfall dependence, aging infrastructure, drought, household storage, hotel demand, watershed protection, tariffs, public trust, and climate-resilient investment.
Saint LuciaWaterClimate resiliencePublic infrastructure
Open research Caribbean Futures
Saint Lucia and the Energy Bill
How much does electricity dependence cost Saint Lucia's households, hotels, and future?
A research report on imported fuel exposure, electricity bills, grid resilience, solar, storage, geothermal possibilities, hotel competitiveness, and local energy ownership.
Saint LuciaEnergyRenewablesElectricity
Open research Caribbean Futures
Saint Lucia — The Youth Pathways Gap
Are young Saint Lucians being prepared for the work that actually creates income?
A Saint Lucia labor-market report on youth unemployment, school-to-work pipelines, tourism careers, trades, certifications, digital work, entrepreneurship, migration pressure, and the difference between having qualifications and having a real income ladder.
Saint LuciaYouthWorkSkills
Open research AI & Work
The AI Dividend
Who gets rich when everyone gets faster?
A practical research report on productivity capture, labor bargaining power, and the new AI-enabled middle class.
AIWorkProductivityLabor bargaining
Open research Psychology & Human Performance
The Attention Crisis
AI, overload, and the collapse of focus.
A psychology and performance brief on attention fragmentation, AI acceleration, and practical discipline.
PsychologyAIPerformanceDigital Discipline
Open research Caribbean Futures
The All-Inclusive Question
Development model or high-leakage operating model?
A Caribbean-wide research report on all-inclusive resorts, tourism leakage, local supplier linkages, worker income, ownership structure, and the public value of tourism incentives.
CaribbeanTourismAll-inclusive resortsEconomic leakage
Open research Law, Power & Public Records
Who Owns the Beach?
Saint Lucia, public access, and the Queen's Chain question.
A public-facing legal and civic research brief on beach access, land, tourism development, coastal rights, and the unresolved Queen's Chain question.
Saint LuciaBeach accessQueen's ChainForeshore
Open research Creator Economy & Publishing
The Human Voice Premium
Why AI-sounding writing loses trust.
A research-backed guide to reader trust, AI assistance, authorship, disclosure, publishing, and the commercial value of authentic human voice.
AI writingHuman voiceAuthorshipReader trust
Open research Frontier Physics & Space Futures
The Keys to Faster-than-Light Travel
Causal Transit Geometry and the Boundary Conditions for Effective Superluminal Motion
A theoretical physics research report reframing faster-than-light travel as a constrained problem in causal geometry, topology, stress-energy, quantum limits, and buildable initial conditions.
Faster-than-light travelGeneral relativityWarp drivesWormholes
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Free papers
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