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Forecaster

A Forecaster research draft
By Kevin L. Michel
Digital PDF edition

Money & work · COMPLETE RESEARCH DRAFT

Who Gets the AI Dividend?

When machines make work faster, who gets the money, time, and power?

AI can create more wealth and free more time. Neither gain distributes itself. This book follows the saved hour from the workplace to the ownership of capital, arguing that everyone should hold a meaningful, enforceable stake in the economy’s growing productive power. It examines wages, learning, bargaining, portable ownership, public investment and democratic control, then asks how a coalition could win these changes. Evidence tests the argument; the author’s proposed Ownership Democracy Act and three imagined futures make its choices concrete.

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Contents

  1. The Extra Hour
  2. What the Exposure Map Can Tell You
  3. Why Your Pay Can Stand Still
  4. The Work Behind the Output
  5. Who Teaches the Next Expert
  6. A Better Bargain Over Work
  7. A Share That Follows You
  8. The Public Has a Claim
  9. How We Win the Ownership Economy
  10. Three Futures for the Same Machine
The idea behind the book +

The ILO's May 2025 task-level study identifies substantial occupational exposure to generative AI while describing job transformation as more likely than wholesale replacement. That makes the distribution of changing work and its rewards a useful question to examine now.