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Contents Chapter 8

Part III: A more secure bargain

A Better Deal for the People Already Here

Make housing reform credible by protecting people through the transition without promising permanent scarcity gains.

By Kevin L. Michel12 minute read

Jean agrees that the town needs more homes. Her son lives too far away. The woman who helps her neighbor cannot afford a place nearby. She has watched a small house at the end of the road become an expensive house without becoming much larger.

Then someone tells her that successful reform might slow the growth of property values.

She looks around her kitchen.

She is not imagining a luxury holiday. She is thinking about the roof, the cost of care, and the savings she does not have outside these walls. The house is the largest financial reserve in her life. A proposal that treats her concern as a character flaw will not persuade her.

Now consider the tenant a few streets away. He has paid rent through years in which other people’s property values rose. He is told to wait again because changing the system could unsettle existing owners.

His life has already been unsettled. The instability simply did not appear as a fall in someone else’s asset price.

A fair transition must see both people while refusing to let the protection of one become the indefinite exclusion of the other. This is the difficult middle of reform. It is where a bold principle either acquires a workable plan or retreats into reassurance that nothing important will change.

Something important must change. The price of access cannot keep outrunning ordinary people’s means while we congratulate ourselves on housing wealth. But a change worth making should reduce insecurity, including the insecurity of people who entered the existing system in good faith.

Protect a life rather than a forecast

The first distinction is between protecting a household’s ability to live and guaranteeing its expectation of future appreciation.

Those are different promises.

A program might help an income-poor older owner meet an essential repair, manage a property-tax burden, or move to an accessible home nearby. It could do this without promising that the property will keep growing faster than local incomes. A tenant-protection program might prevent an avoidable eviction without guaranteeing every existing lease at every existing price forever. A responsible transition defines the need it protects.

If we fail to make this distinction, every reform becomes hostage to the most optimistic forecast someone once made. A buyer may have assumed a rapid gain. An investor may have borrowed on the expectation of aggressive rent increases. Those expectations are not all public obligations.

The household’s vulnerability still matters. A person who bought a modest home with little margin deserves a different policy discussion from a well-capitalized owner demanding protection for a speculative portfolio. Neither should be reduced to a stereotype, but their capacity to absorb change is relevant.

The objective should be to make housing less burdensome relative to people’s resources over time, not to engineer a disorderly crash. More supply, better tenure options, stable financing and targeted assistance can pursue that objective through several channels. No honest reformer can promise that every local sale price will follow a gentle path or that every owner’s balance sheet will be unaffected.

Credibility requires stating that uncertainty and then building protection around the human consequences we can reasonably address.

There is courage in promising something specific and achievable. There is less courage in promising everyone a gain from an arrangement whose gains depend on someone else paying more.

The bill that arrives after the mortgage

An owner can be rich in estimated property value and short of cash. This is an accounting possibility, not a rare logical puzzle.

A paid-off house still needs insurance, taxes, utilities and repairs. A household’s income can fall while those costs rise. An older resident may want to stay for good reasons while finding it increasingly difficult to finance the work the building needs.

The Federal Reserve’s October 2025 survey found that 14 percent of insured homeowners struggled to afford their insurance premiums.1 This is a reported affordability measure, not proof that each household lacked adequate protection or would lose its home. It does remind us that ownership security depends on more than the absence of rent.

A repair program can preserve useful housing and protect the person living in it. Its design should distinguish essential safety and habitability work from discretionary improvements. It should have transparent eligibility, competent contractors, quality checks and a way to report poor work. Otherwise public assistance can become an unreliable promise or a subsidy captured by providers.

Property-tax relief also needs a clear purpose. An income-related circuit breaker, deferral or other targeted mechanism can be designed to address hardship without freezing advantages for every incumbent owner regardless of means. Deferral is not forgiveness: if a program allows an obligation to accumulate until sale or another event, the household needs to understand the terms, including effects on an estate. These are policy options to evaluate, not a description of a universal legal entitlement.

Broadly suppressing assessments or taxes for current owners can shift burdens to newcomers or weaken public services. The appropriate response to a vulnerable owner should not automatically require a younger household to pay more for equivalent public provision.

A fair system can recognize cash-flow hardship directly. It does not need to pretend that every valuable property has a poor owner or that every renter has no stake in local finances.

Maintenance is part of affordability

A home is not affordable in a meaningful sense if a household can cover the payment only by tolerating conditions that damage health or safety.

Nor is a rental system sustainable if its prices and financing arrangements leave no viable way to maintain buildings. Someone must pay for roofs, wiring, plumbing and competent labor. Pretending otherwise eventually sends the bill to residents in another form.

The source of the bill matters. An owner may need help because essential costs have risen sharply. Another may have withdrawn resources while postponing work. A third may have purchased at an unrealistic price and assumed tenants could finance the mistake. These cases call for different responses.

Public repair assistance for rental housing should therefore come with an enforceable bargain. If public money helps preserve a building, residents should receive the promised safety, reasonable affordability conditions where applicable, and protection against the assistance becoming a pretext for displacement. The exact requirements must remain workable enough that useful repairs actually happen.

A small landlord can be part of this bargain. Imagine someone renting two units in a building they also occupy. A major repair exceeds their available cash. A well-structured loan or grant could preserve three households’ homes. The owner’s small scale is relevant to capacity, but it does not excuse leaving a hazard unresolved.

The same principle applies to publicly owned or nonprofit housing. A socially admirable owner can still neglect maintenance, mismanage contracts or ignore residents. Residents deserve functioning systems, regardless of the logo on the letterhead.

Preservation should also be selective. Some buildings can be repaired effectively. Others may be unsafe, poorly located for future risks, or prohibitively costly to retain in their current form. We should not confuse saving people from displacement with preserving every structure forever. Sometimes the humane outcome is a better replacement, delivered through a transition that does not abandon the residents.

The standard is a decent, durable home. A photograph of an old facade is not enough.

The period between two addresses

A redevelopment plan often describes the old building and the new one. The period between them receives less attention.

That period is where people live.

A parent still needs to reach work and school. A resident still needs an accessible bathroom. Someone receiving care still needs the people who provide it. Moving costs include more than the truck. There may be deposits, storage, changed journeys, lost time and the work of establishing a temporary household.

A relocation promise should address these actual requirements before displacement begins. Who is responsible for finding suitable temporary housing? What makes it suitable? Which costs are covered? How long can the arrangement last? What happens if construction is delayed? Who can enforce the promise without spending money they do not have?

A right to return should be equally concrete. Return to what rent or ownership cost? With what bedroom count and accessibility? Under what eligibility rules? Will a resident lose the right because their income changed, paperwork arrived at an old address, or they found a tolerable alternative during a long delay?

These questions are not obstacles to progress. They are part of making progress real for the people bearing its immediate costs.

Three connected stages guide accountability for housing change. Before: identify affected people, promises, who pays, and who is responsible. During: check whether temporary housing works, costs are covered, and problems are answered. After: verify return or a suitable chosen alternative and the promised costs and conditions. Every promise needs a responsible party, identified funding, a deadline, and an enforceable remedy.

Scroll sideways to see all columns. Keyboard: focus the table and use the left and right arrow keys.

Text equivalent: A transition worth trusting
Part of the figureMeaning
BookA Home Is Not a Jackpot
Starting pointCheck the promise throughout the change.
BeforeWho is affected? What is promised? Who pays and is responsible?
DuringIs the temporary home workable? Are costs covered and problems answered?
AfterDid people return or choose a suitable alternative? Are costs and conditions as promised?
ReminderFor every promise: a responsible party, identified funding, a deadline and an enforceable remedy.
How to read the diagramArrows show the order of review before, during, and after a housing transition. They do not imply an estimated causal relationship, a guaranteed outcome, or that every transition requires a move.

Figure 3. A transition worth trusting. An original accountability guide for housing change: name who is affected, fund the commitments, provide workable protection during the move, and verify the result afterward. A promise is incomplete without responsibility, resources and a remedy.

The public authority approving a project should know whether the protection is funded, who bears the risk of delay, and what remedies are available. A developer’s intention is not the same thing as an enforceable obligation. A resident should not have to finance the gap between them.

There will be costs. Pretending otherwise makes the plan less honest. Those costs should appear early enough to affect the project, the public contribution and the decision about whether an alternative site or design would be better.

If a project is said to produce a public benefit, the public must count the cost imposed on particular people. Counting is the beginning of responsibility, not a reason to abandon every project that has a cost.

Do not promise an unchanged neighborhood

Protecting residents does not mean promising that nothing around them will change.

New homes bring new people. Businesses open and close. Streets may be redesigned. A building can cast a different shadow. A place that once offered abundant free parking may choose to use some of that land for housing or public space.

Some changes are improvements. Some require mitigation. Some will remain losses to particular residents even after a reasonable public decision. Honest planning should acknowledge that there is no design in which every person receives everything they prefer.

The important distinction is between a preference that deserves consideration and a necessity that requires protection. Losing a convenient parking space is not the same as losing access to a home or essential care. A cherished view matters to the person who enjoys it, but it cannot automatically outweigh many people’s need for shelter. A dangerous crossing is a concrete safety problem that should be fixed.

These judgments are contestable. They should be made openly, with reasons and evidence, rather than hidden inside the phrase neighborhood character.

We should also distribute change fairly. Expensive, well-served neighborhoods should not enjoy permanent exemption while less powerful areas host every redevelopment and every disruption. A regional plan can spread housing capacity and public investment across places that have different histories of exclusion.

This is one way to make protection compatible with abundance. The answer to a difficult occupied site may be to build first on less disruptive sites, including places where affluent owners have long resisted additional homes. Sequencing can create options that a project-by-project fight fails to see.

The region has to become capable of offering somewhere else before it tells people to go somewhere else.

Insurance cannot remove the weather

Insurance costs can become part of a housing crisis. So can the underlying risks insurance is meant to cover.

A policy discussion that focuses only on the premium may overlook the physical problem: a home exposed to hazards it cannot adequately withstand, infrastructure unable to cope, or a location where repeated damage makes continued occupation increasingly difficult.

This does not authorize abandoning people who live there. Many households did not choose their options from a generous menu. Some have deep ties to a place. Some received incomplete information. Some could not afford safer alternatives.

But promising cheap coverage forever without addressing risk can create another fragile form of security. The public may be left carrying growing losses while households remain exposed. A sound approach combines understandable risk information, appropriate mitigation, responsible insurance oversight and assistance for moves when remaining is no longer a reasonable solution.

A voluntary relocation program, where justified, should provide a workable future rather than a payment that buys nowhere suitable. It should account for community ties and avoid treating residents as interchangeable occupants of parcels on a map. A household can lose much more than a structure when it leaves.

These are proposals about how to govern difficult choices, not instructions for an individual to cancel coverage, accept an offer or move. Those decisions require current local information and qualified advice. The broader principle is simple: financial arrangements should support physical safety, not substitute for it.

The home we preserve must remain a place in which people can safely live.

A transition people can believe

Reform becomes believable when the people expected to support it can see what happens next.

For a renter, that might mean timely assistance, effective repair enforcement and more suitable homes coming into use. For an older owner, it might mean a clear route to essential repairs and accessible housing nearby. For a small provider of rental homes, it might mean predictable standards, a workable repair-finance program and prompt payment of approved assistance. For a first-time buyer, it might mean a broader supply of modest homes rather than another invitation to stretch.

None of these people needs a guarantee that every preference will be satisfied. They need a credible account of the risks, the available help and the responsibilities of the institutions involved.

Publish the commitments in a form people can understand. Report whether homes were completed, whether displaced residents returned or chose a satisfactory alternative, whether promised costs were maintained, and whether repairs endured. Make it possible to complain without becoming an expert in the organization chart.

The transition should also have a memory. If a public authority repeatedly promises relocation protection and fails to provide it, the next proposal should not begin with a blank reputation. Past performance belongs in the evaluation of future claims.

Jean can be invited into this project without being asked to celebrate financial uncertainty. Her son’s difficulty finding a home and her own need for security can be addressed together. The tenant nearby can be protected now while the town expands its capacity. The point is to create more than a sequence in which one group waits until another group is completely comfortable.

Some discomfort accompanies change. Preventable hardship should not be casually assigned to those with the least power.

A better housing system will need people who can hold that distinction firmly: willing to change the rules, willing to fund the transition, and unwilling to turn ordinary residents into disposable evidence of their boldness.

Footnotes

  1. Federal Reserve Board, Housing, SHED 2025, May 2026. Adult survey fielded October 2025; this figure concerns insured homeowners. ↩