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Power & society · A BOOK PROPOSAL
When the Rules Won't Sit Still
How to think about trade, power, and decisions under policy uncertainty
This proposed book would explain uncertainty as a force that changes decisions, not simply as an uncomfortable feeling. It would explore why businesses delay investment, households postpone commitments, and governments use threats and exceptions as bargaining tools. Through clear scenarios, readers would learn to separate announced policies from implemented measures, distinguish reversible choices from costly commitments, and read competing forecasts without demanding false certainty. The emphasis would be on reasoning through change rather than predicting a single outcome.
Inside the proposed edition
- The cost of waiting for the next announcement
- Threats, deadlines, exemptions, and bargaining
- Announcement is not implementation
- How uncertainty travels through a business
- Scenarios with assumptions you can inspect
- Decisions that leave room to change course
The idea behind the book +
The IMF's April 2025 World Economic Outlook examined how changing trade policies and elevated uncertainty could hinder growth. It is a dated analytical starting point for understanding these mechanisms, rather than a claim that its forecasts describe September 2026 conditions.
One digital copy · USD · Copyright stays with the author.